After 47 days of conflict, Ukraine’s attitude has undergone three major changes. The real fierce battle is about to start?

唐华斑竹
7 min readApr 12, 2022

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After 47 days, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has not only not subsided, but also showed signs of intensifying.

There are three signs of attitude change on the Ukrainian side, suggesting that Kyiv may have to “fight to the end” with Russia.

After 47 days of conflict, Ukraine’s attitude has undergone three major changes. The real fierce battle is about to start?

(Zelensky)

First, there is a major shift in Ukraine’s position on the negotiating issue.

When Russia invaded the city of Kyiv, Zelensky repeatedly called for a meeting with Putin to negotiate, and even the neutrality of Ukraine could be negotiated.

However, the current attitude of Ukraine seems to be undergoing a 180-degree change. It can even be said that Ukraine should not plan to have a good talk with Russia anymore. Zelensky’s adviser Mikhailo Podoljak has taken the initiative to say that Zelensky will not hold a meeting with Putin in the near future. Podoljak claimed that Ukraine will continue to have “strong security guarantees.” The Ukrainian chief representative of the Russia-Ukraine negotiations, David Arakamia, also claimed that the progress of the Russia-Ukraine negotiations was zero, and that Kyiv would not recognize any results. According to Kyiv, in order for Zelensky to negotiate with Putin, the Ukrainian army will have to wait for the Ukrainian army to fight with the Russian army in the Donbass and win the victory.

From the past Zelensky begging Putin to talk, and now Ukraine is sharpening its knife and preparing to fight with Russia, it can be seen that Ukraine has changed its attitude.

After 47 days of conflict, Ukraine’s attitude has undergone three major changes. The real fierce battle is about to start?

(Russia-Ukraine negotiation)

Secondly, Ukraine began to swell, and the Ukrainian foreign minister threatened that the combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian army was “second only to the US military”.

According to the Global Times, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba publicly claimed in an interview with US media that Ukraine has mastered “combat capability”. It may even have reached the level “second only to the United States”.

Kuleba’s remarks sound exaggerated, but his remarks reflect a change in Ukraine’s attitude. Although Ukraine has encountered a Russian crit since the conflict, Kyiv now seems to believe that with the support of Western countries , Ukraine has the opportunity to “turn over”.

Curieba publicly put forward “3 demands” to NATO — weapons, weapons, weapons. His statement shows that Ukraine is trying to enrich its combat effectiveness by requesting weapons from NATO and seek to narrow the power gap with Russia. In this context, Kyiv has clearly become bloated.

After 47 days of conflict, Ukraine’s attitude has undergone three major changes. The real fierce battle is about to start?

(Curieba)

Third, Ukraine has begun to actively deploy troops, and American public opinion predicts that a “bad war” is about to start.

According to Chinanews.com, citing foreign media reports, great changes are taking place in eastern Ukraine, which seems to be about to become a “main battlefield”. Currently, both Ukraine and Russia are sending additional troops to the region, which means that not only Russia wants to solve the Donbas problem, but Ukraine also wants to solve it.

The result of tit-for-tat is that fierce battles are inevitable. The US media believes that this may be the “biggest military conflict” since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. The Russian side has accused Ukraine. Mikhail Mizantsev, director of the Defense Command Center of the Russian Ministry of Defense, believes that the Ukrainian side has planned a large-scale attack on civilians in the Donbass and is ready to blame the Russian army.

Vadim Denisenko, adviser to the Ukrainian interior minister, claimed that Russia has assembled heavy troops in the Donbas region, and he also claimed that a “large-scale offensive” of the Russian army has begun.

Obviously, with the cooperation of the public opinion war, Ukraine is trying to “show its strengths” in areas such as Donetsk and Luhansk. What Russia is now facing is a Ukraine that is ready to counterattack, and because of the confrontation between the two sides in Donbass, a “hard battle” may already be inevitable.

After 47 days of conflict, Ukraine’s attitude has undergone three major changes. The real fierce battle is about to start?

(Russian troops are evacuating civilians in Mariupol)

Moreover, Russia’s real test may have just begun.

For Russia, the Donbas military operation, on the surface, is a showdown between the Russian army and the Ukrainian army, and then behind it is actually a showdown between Russia and Western countries, or even a showdown between Russia and the United States.

At present, Western countries will support Ukraine in at least the following aspects.

The first is military support. Although NATO has not publicly confirmed sending troops to Ukraine to participate in the war, it can be seen that the military support of Western countries for Ukraine is unprecedented. The United States threatened to “provide weapons to Ukraine every day”, which is why Ukraine has the feeling that “the strength of the Ukrainian army is second only to the US military”. Of course, NATO’s military support for Ukraine has indeed enhanced the combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian army. If NATO did not provide so many weapons, Ukraine’s own strength would not be able to withstand it.

Moreover, NATO’s military assistance to Ukraine has been upgraded. Before, it only provided anti-tank weapons and simple air defense missile systems. Now it has been upgraded to directly provide tank armored vehicle equipment, and has also begun to provide Ukraine with S-300 air defense missile systems. NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg even directly told NATO member states that they would supply weapons to Ukraine in the future without distinguishing between offensive and defensive nature. .

After 47 days of conflict, Ukraine’s attitude has undergone three major changes. The real fierce battle is about to start?

(The Ukrainian S-300 air defense missile system was destroyed)

Secondly, Western countries will also strongly support Ukraine in intelligence. If you simply compare the intelligence capabilities of Russia and Ukraine, Russia has no intention of crushing Ukraine, but with the blessing of the United States and Western countries, the situation will be different. The intelligence capabilities of the United States It should be said that it is the strongest on the surface, and many European countries are also cooperating. The Kyiv and Ukrainian forces can definitely grasp the real-time dynamics of the Russian army at the first time, and may even know the activities in Russia.

The United States has now opened commercial satellite channels to Ukraine, which means that Ukrainian commanders can learn about the movements of the Russian military for the first time every day and respond immediately. This situation is unfavorable for the Russian army. If the Ukrainian army is fighting head-on, the Ukrainian army is not necessarily an opponent, but if the Ukrainian army uses the intelligence network to continuously preemptively engage in ambush, the Russian army will be very injured.

After 47 days of conflict, Ukraine’s attitude has undergone three major changes. The real fierce battle is about to start?

(US satellite image)

The third is economic support. Military operations need to have an economic foundation. Russia has launched a special military operation this time, which can be said to have consumed a lot. However, Ukraine can obtain strong economic support from the United States and Western countries, especially when a “decisive war” is about to break out in eastern Ukraine, the United States and Western countries will use their strong economic strength to solve Ukraine’s worries, so that Ukraine has an economic advantage. advantage.

On the other hand, the United States and Western countries have been madly sanctioning Russia, which makes Russia very uncomfortable. While sanctions also drain Western power, the economy is Russia’s weak spot by comparison. By sanctioning Russia and supporting Ukraine, Western countries will further narrow the gap between Russia and Ukraine.

After 47 days of conflict, Ukraine’s attitude has undergone three major changes. The real fierce battle is about to start?

(Russia was kicked out of the SWIFT settlement system)

To sum up, it can be seen that there is a reason for Ukraine’s attitude change. The United States and NATO are operating behind the scenes, making Ukraine get carried away, and even feel that it can already “counterattack Russia”. Now Ukraine obviously does not want to negotiate well, and is even ready to give the Russian army a “big counter-offensive”.

However, judging from Russia’s actions, Moscow is not worried about Ukraine’s “big counteroffensive”. At present, Russia is still in accordance with the set plan, gathering forces in eastern Ukraine, preparing to achieve the goal of the second stage of military operations — “liberating” the Donbas region.

This is a difficult operation, but one that Russia is determined to undertake. With both Russia and Ukraine waiting on their feet, it may only be a matter of time before the outbreak of the “fierce war” in eastern Ukraine. As for the end result, let’s leave time to give the answer.

( http://www.idcnpc.com/z/okx/ )

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唐华斑竹
唐华斑竹

Written by 唐华斑竹

Blockchain researcher and scholar, named CREATOR OF THE YEAR by Binance Square, my personal homepage is: http://www.2u.cn/tang

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